CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf79363386b0f023c7c795e3521fd198813c6f7d1f9cd8bd37a6ea259e78db8ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Ursa | 0c | 5,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 25c | 3,106$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.64 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ursa | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked TDK | 77c | 2,404$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.67 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked TDK | 76c | 1,285$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.48 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Ursa | 24c | 1,103$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Ursa | 27c | 1,034$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.04 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Ursa | 27c | 1,001$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.18 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…187ebacked TDK | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 27c | 895.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…edc7backed Ursa | 25c | 850.7$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed TDK | 74c | 786.09$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ursa | 7c | 749.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa | 25c | 700.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TDK | 74c | 646.52$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed TDK | 74c | 621.96$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Ursa | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked TDK | 73c | 561.1$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Ursa | 27c | 561.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed TDK | 74c | 548.3$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed TDK | 74c | 502.28$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed TDK | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed TDK | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked TDK | 76c | 465.85$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked TDK | 73c | 422.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed TDK | 74c | 409.3$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed TDK | 73c | 397.26$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ursa | 26c | 391.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TDK | 70c | 373.33$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked TDK | 77c | 350.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed TDK | 74c | 296.42$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Ursa | 27c | 265.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked TDK | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed TDK | 77c | 260.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed TDK | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed TDK | 76c | 248$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed TDK | 73c | 239.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…37debacked Ursa | 16c | 239.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Ursa | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TDK | 73c | 229.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked TDK | 77c | 227.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…8893backed Ursa | 28c | 215.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…31a4backed Ursa | 21c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Ursa | 21c | 199.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked TDK | 75c | 198.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Ursa | 23c | 195.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TDK | 72c | 159.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Ursa | 25c | 144.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed TDK | 76c | 142.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed TDK | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Ursa | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…d2d1backed TDK | 76c | 133.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked TDK | 76c | 133.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ursa | 26c | 131.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Ursa | 26c | 128.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ursa | 15c | 127.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed TDK | 75c | 125.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked TDK | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…bd67backed TDK | 78c | 119.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Ursa | 26c | 118.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Ursa | 9c | 115.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed TDK | 74c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TDK | 73c | 104.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked TDK | 76c | 102.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed TDK | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…b972backed TDK | 71c | 90.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Ursa | 28c | 89.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked Ursa | 28c | 85.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Ursa | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Ursa | 25c | 81.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed TDK | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked TDK | 74c | 80.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed TDK | 76c | 76.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Ursa | 29c | 67.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ed…8b66backed TDK | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Ursa | 27c | 63.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked TDK | 75c | 62.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…556ebacked TDK | 74c | 60.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked TDK | 73c | 58.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…a0febacked Ursa | 27c | 58.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed Ursa | 24c | 57.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked Ursa | 27c | 55.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…39aabacked TDK | 76c | 52.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Ursa | 30c | 50.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed Ursa | 28c | 49.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Ursa | 22c | 49.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…701bbacked TDK | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Ursa | 25c | 47.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Ursa | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed TDK | 73c | 45.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed TDK | 73c | 41.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed TDK | 72c | 40.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed TDK | 75c | 39.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked TDK | 61c | 39.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed TDK | 72c | 39.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked TDK | 72c | 39.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed TDK | 76c | 36.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed TDK | 55c | 36.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed TDK | 70c | 35.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Ursa (+3.5)TDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.