TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7ed…8b66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$39.66
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.67
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$31.91
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$30.31
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.93
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.87
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.67
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.92
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.05
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.6
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.66
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+50%+$28.31
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$20.01
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.44
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$28.39
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 1 Winnerbacked Game Master · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$15.01
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)backed ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.4
Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$12.55
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$41.8
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.