TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
eSubaof Coalesce, eSuba
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4cfd…5c91backed Coalesce6c4,061$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7812627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked eSuba72c3,862$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.791,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Coalesce14c3,827$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.177,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Coalesce19c3,745$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.142,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Coalesce34c3,700$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Coalesce14c3,129$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.215,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9c…c182backed eSuba79c3,049$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.131776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f9…d198backed Coalesce13c2,367$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2963234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x189c…bd67backed Coalesce14c2,297$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.361361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Coalesce17c2,185$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.472,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Coalesce17c1,542$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2945754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed eSuba68c1,514$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.751,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed eSuba55c1,369$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.21,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Coalesce18c1,226$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.546,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Coalesce17c1,088$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8589046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37d…c735backed Coalesce5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506253.2%33 W · 29 L+9.5wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+172.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Coalesce1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed eSuba77c981.73$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8845465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Coalesce26c899.95$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.998143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked eSuba79c842.9$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.813371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Coalesce14c790.53$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11113223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aca…c347backed Coalesce6c699.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-86.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Coalesce19c693.6$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.683,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Coalesce18c667.97$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.922,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Coalesce15c655$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.523040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Coalesce18c646$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.345,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Coalesce18c610.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.312,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Coalesce43c566$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9119340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Coalesce18c504.3$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.522,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed Coalesce20c481.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5110437.5%39 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Coalesce22c440.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.953,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Coalesce24c409.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Coalesce21c344.08$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.734,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked eSuba54c335.42$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4223038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Coalesce15c334.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Coalesce17c332.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8374653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Coalesce18c306.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.540857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed eSuba65c269.44$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.761948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked eSuba74c261.32$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Coalesce12c255.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.626051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed eSuba60c254.74$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.481631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Coalesce20c251.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.634,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed eSuba67c243.46$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.466654.5%36 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Coalesce11c239$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1132139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Coalesce34c229.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.182,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Coalesce22c228.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5660032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Coalesce21c225.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2816651.8%86 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Coalesce32c218.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0621850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked eSuba50c217.5$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7537149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed eSuba66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed eSuba74c204.92$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2835153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Coalesce21c202.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.72,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85bc…a12abacked eSuba74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5a…9ef7backed eSuba50c197.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.526939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Coalesce14c196.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.684,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Coalesce9c179.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.452,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed eSuba65c179.08$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6820946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Coalesce14c162.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Coalesce31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.635131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked eSuba66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.142,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Coalesce32c145.76$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.151252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Coalesce17c145.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2640141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a03…d2d1backed eSuba78c135.13$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.731850%9 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed eSuba77c135$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.051,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed eSuba65c130$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e85…01fcbacked eSuba65c128.45$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.962864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Coalesce18c128.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.572937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Coalesce17c110.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1936856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed eSuba69c105.22$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.626040%24 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked eSuba62c95.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.362,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked eSuba76c95.46$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.448267.1%55 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Coalesce30c93.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.938637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Coalesce15c82.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Coalesce16c76.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.022,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed eSuba59c74.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.963647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Coalesce32c74.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.721,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed eSuba50c73.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.856154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked eSuba50c72.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4717955.3%99 W · 80 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91aa…c94abacked Coalesce36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Coalesce28c62.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ed…8b66backed eSuba80c61.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.551070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Coalesce23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed eSuba57c56.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6728434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb795…1a30backed eSuba65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae02…3b62backed Coalesce34c52.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Coalesce29c52.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4127248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked eSuba65c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.856666.7%44 W · 22 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked eSuba65c48.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0232458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Coalesce28c47.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3152645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…dea8backed eSuba50c47.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed eSuba65c45.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.996346%29 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Coalesce33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed eSuba65c39.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1433869.8%236 W · 102 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2724…0a2abacked Coalesce31c39.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb2…3258backed eSuba66c37.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked eSuba50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…93f1backed Coalesce41c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3514250.7%72 W · 70 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed eSuba60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed eSuba65c32.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4425934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed eSuba52c32.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.594831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.