CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30accb847e029d96914894ad5c792fd0aa509d62b40f59918ee69c8558ce4ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof Coalesce, eSuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Coalesce | 10c | 2,819$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.98 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Coalesce | 18c | 2,272$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Coalesce | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…0646backed eSuba | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Coalesce | 11c | 852.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…d198backed Coalesce | 15c | 763.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Coalesce | 10c | 689.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Coalesce | 18c | 530.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Coalesce | 6c | 479.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Coalesce | 18c | 365.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Coalesce | 37c | 347.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Coalesce | 21c | 326.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Coalesce | 17c | 318.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Coalesce | 11c | 257$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Coalesce | 12c | 254.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Coalesce | 14c | 205.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Coalesce | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Coalesce | 30c | 193$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Coalesce | 13c | 165.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Coalesce | 18c | 165.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Coalesce | 11c | 156.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Coalesce | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2c93backed Coalesce | 24c | 137.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Coalesce | 10c | 124.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Coalesce | 12c | 121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked eSuba | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed eSuba | 75c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed eSuba | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Coalesce | 24c | 86.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Coalesce | 14c | 81.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed eSuba | 75c | 53.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed eSuba | 70c | 38.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed eSuba | 63c | 34.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed eSuba | 71c | 33.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group AeSuba won
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba - Map 2 WinnereSuba won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Coalesce (+1.5)eSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.