CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Coalesce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1fc8173317600f90d2db7277154f525098cede8d21b150cdc55ca6947e23144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, Coalesce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed eSuba | 55c | 2,848$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.59 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Coalesce | 40c | 1,248$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.34 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed eSuba | 66c | 578.31$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Coalesce | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Coalesce | 31c | 473.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Coalesce | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Coalesce | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked eSuba | 72c | 366.4$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked eSuba | 68c | 330.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Coalesce | 38c | 284.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Coalesce | 41c | 247.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Coalesce | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Coalesce | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked Coalesce | 47c | 162.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Coalesce | 44c | 131.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Coalesce | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed eSuba | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac66…9120backed Coalesce | 37c | 77.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Coalesce | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Coalesce | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Coalesce | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked eSuba | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Coalesce (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group AeSuba won
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba - Map 1 WinnereSuba won
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba - Map 2 WinnereSuba won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.