CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06191c8dd9e57e3f8a845e39950d3228afa8c2b65ec40ca4e9bb93bf9b090c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof Coalesce, eSuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Coalesce | 21c | 5,485$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Coalesce | 15c | 4,034$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.43 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Coalesce | 16c | 2,825$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.8 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Coalesce | 1c | 1,310$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Coalesce | 22c | 1,020$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Coalesce | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Coalesce | 18c | 990$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Coalesce | 21c | 962.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Coalesce | 26c | 683.71$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Coalesce | 17c | 613.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…d198backed Coalesce | 9c | 562.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Coalesce | 24c | 550.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Coalesce | 21c | 520$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Coalesce | 15c | 503.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Coalesce | 18c | 450.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Coalesce | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Coalesce | 12c | 399.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Coalesce | 15c | 247.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Coalesce | 14c | 213.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Coalesce | 34c | 202.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Coalesce | 25c | 198.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Coalesce | 33c | 189.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Coalesce | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Coalesce | 21c | 133$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Coalesce | 26c | 132.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Coalesce | 23c | 121.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Coalesce | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Coalesce | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Coalesce | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Coalesce | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Coalesce | 21c | 103.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Coalesce | 32c | 102.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked Coalesce | 11c | 102.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Coalesce | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Coalesce | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Coalesce | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Coalesce | 19c | 95.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed eSuba | 77c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Coalesce | 14c | 90.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Coalesce | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Coalesce | 16c | 71.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…7ddebacked Coalesce | 17c | 70.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Coalesce | 20c | 58.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Coalesce | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Coalesce | 28c | 38.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Coalesce | 32c | 32.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group AeSuba won
- Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba - Map 1 WinnereSuba won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Coalesce (+1.5)eSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.