Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fbe8a7fa094751f194d1e28574b4ffaa145b4d5f8d033670c9f72aac250b542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 35c | 2,998$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.19 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 65c | 2,601$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.45 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Over | 27c | 2,006$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Under | 65c | 1,291$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 35c | 555$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…a12abacked Under | 76c | 511.75$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Under | 71c | 411.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Under | 73c | 371.93$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1d…a725backed Over | 37c | 265.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ed…8b66backed Under | 71c | 142.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…d2d1backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 72c | 139.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 43c | 116.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 105.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 39c | 89.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…ed4bbacked Under | 70c | 68.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…fa1bbacked Under | 75c | 54.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…39aabacked Under | 75c | 23.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…9ebcbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Under | 71c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.