Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620a19ded20a42d8bd8b11b54168808489a6b8020fa727b7e9acd0a5af076621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 32c | 1,077$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 76c | 541.83$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.69 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 26c | 500$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 23c | 267.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 69c | 263.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 76c | 262.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 260.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 27c | 214.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.33 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 37c | 164$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Over | 75c | 146.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 29c | 140.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 19c | 126.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked Under | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 25c | 106.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…866cbacked Over | 74c | 105.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 74c | 80.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca48…b9fbbacked Over | 74c | 77.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Over | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 69c | 41.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…d267backed Over | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.