Valorant · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb814db3859f39a251273a40ccddac4c7bb41b98e65cec0a866ffeb3cfc593e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof Leviatán Esports, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 1,941$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed EDward Gaming | 53c | 549$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 356$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked EDward Gaming | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Leviatán Esports | 52c | 232.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Leviatán Esports | 54c | 198.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed EDward Gaming | 55c | 97.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked Leviatán Esports | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 65.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.