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Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89dd…f662backed Leviatán Esports50c42,419$21,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,223.811485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+50.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00024145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed EDward Gaming50c5,715$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-84%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed EDward Gaming50c3,205$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.526627.3%18 W · 48 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked EDward Gaming50c2,408$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2041330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked EDward Gaming50c2,320$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.215752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming50c2,203$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.7995849.6%475 W · 483 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked EDward Gaming50c2,059$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.837338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked EDward Gaming50c1,897$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.28444%37 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked EDward Gaming49c885.86$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.19340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4d…20ccbacked Leviatán Esports47c865.94$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.952343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Leviatán Esports51c792.16$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.163253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed EDward Gaming49c792.16$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.167847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked EDward Gaming50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Leviatán Esports52c599.95$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.983930.8%12 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked EDward Gaming51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555328.3%15 W · 38 L-9.3wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a7f…3797backed EDward Gaming50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed EDward Gaming51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked EDward Gaming47c428.04$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1819146.6%89 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed EDward Gaming48c415.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed EDward Gaming49c384.82$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2715337.9%58 W · 95 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Leviatán Esports52c381.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5220056.5%113 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Leviatán Esports53c380.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8312455.6%69 W · 55 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Leviatán Esports51c378.39$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.413357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed EDward Gaming6c366.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.265444.4%24 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked EDward Gaming50c356$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17836338.6%140 W · 223 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed EDward Gaming49c309.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ca…bc47backed EDward Gaming48c308.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed EDward Gaming49c292.45$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.315241.4%63 W · 89 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed EDward Gaming48c278$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Leviatán Esports50c220$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10925547.1%120 W · 135 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed EDward Gaming50c200.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb52c…77abbacked EDward Gaming50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed EDward Gaming50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82f2…27d4backed EDward Gaming50c170.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.163650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Leviatán Esports51c163.23$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.981181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+64.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe09f…deffbacked EDward Gaming50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x086d…8f95backed Leviatán Esports52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed EDward Gaming50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed EDward Gaming50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed EDward Gaming53c142.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.331947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ae…60a6backed EDward Gaming50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed Leviatán Esports48c116.04$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Leviatán Esports53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.212766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked EDward Gaming53c101.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.766636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9931…d95bbacked Leviatán Esports53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb4e…05f7backed EDward Gaming53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked EDward Gaming53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked EDward Gaming50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed EDward Gaming50c77.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed EDward Gaming50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked EDward Gaming50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310633%35 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked EDward Gaming45c62.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1555852.2%291 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e8…39b0backed EDward Gaming49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed EDward Gaming47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.44240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked EDward Gaming50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Leviatán Esports47c54.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8721457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed EDward Gaming50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked EDward Gaming46c53.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4212143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed EDward Gaming48c50.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0365147.5%309 W · 342 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed EDward Gaming50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Leviatán Esports55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked EDward Gaming48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7516451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6057…358abacked EDward Gaming53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Leviatán Esports48c40.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d52…df50backed EDward Gaming50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe27…fdeebacked EDward Gaming49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x082b…3ab2backed EDward Gaming50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4442…238cbacked EDward Gaming52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311855.1%65 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed EDward Gaming50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.568650.4%346 W · 340 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…9251backed Leviatán Esports52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked EDward Gaming50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92ed…21dcbacked Leviatán Esports51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc090…d267backed EDward Gaming50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x176b…59a2backed EDward Gaming50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.