TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9931…d95b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$33.43
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$14.04
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.67
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.83
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.26
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$181.63
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.93
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.64
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.95
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.76
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.7
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.59
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.34
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.46
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$69.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.51
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Valorant: X-CAST vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.54
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$26.21
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.55
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.05
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.86
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.08
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.98
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.83
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$29.25
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.95
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+189.5%+$51.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$32.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.