TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Over60c17,777$10,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,666.181,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under40c15,792$6,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,475.21,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Over60c7,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under54c4,509$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.5114852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under43c3,060$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.372,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under39c2,626$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.811,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over57c2,293$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.753855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed Under47c1,558$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.965248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under46c1,439$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.382,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Over25c1,196$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over51c1,147$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6797854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c3e…176dbacked Over2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed Over58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.997657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over55c901.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Over58c900.96$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.552339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025640.6%104 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Over59c843$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.396235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under56c838.21$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.381,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Over49c812.7$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Under40c763.2$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.990537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under40c736.25$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7552045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over61c704.84$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9522748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over60c700$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41811344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c693.29$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.912,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under42c691.55$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.438750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under39c663.47$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.721,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over61c646$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0646050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under40c636.4$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8431646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Under40c623.12$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.8749461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under42c612$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.678045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over60c595.94$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.562,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under40c594.86$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9220036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Over69c587.13$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.428942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Under57c582.94$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6620542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under40c579.87$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.0835442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under49c559$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.311,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over56c532.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf808…dba3backed Under75c532.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.814831.3%15 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Under58c531.09$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5827745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over59c500.09$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0524643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.82,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Under39c486$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.463948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Under40c483.61$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1619232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked Under69c456.11$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.769046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Under61c454.69$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0629758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdf…6cafbacked Over61c434.62$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Under46c411$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1535848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Over61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019741.1%81 W · 116 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under55c402.93$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1218139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under39c380.53$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6312843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Under78c379.9$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6338439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under73c377.27$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5763742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c363.62$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.811,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Under45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.539851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6049…79dfbacked Under48c340$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.83357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…7ed4backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under49c326.39$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.395536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68f7…77e1backed Over61c322.95$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-71.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Over60c319.22$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19318841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778b…5aa2backed Under49c303.66$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.662665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over48c302.06$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1149346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e23…1c3dbacked Under60c250.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.177859%46 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…f625backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15038953.2%207 W · 182 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Over61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010855.6%60 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over54c244$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7648847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Under76c234.83$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.468538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed Over55c234.64$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…64b4backed Under40c232.5$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Under40c228$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.820644.7%92 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a0…ad1abacked Under40c225$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over46c213.85$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3737161.7%229 W · 142 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0d…4513backed Over54c203.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over43c201.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4532555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33e…c742backed Over24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under72c184.25$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7832442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Under40c184$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.426440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over46c179.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1824832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ffc…6cf2backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008355.4%46 W · 37 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over55c176.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2511146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over41c175$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.951,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under40c174.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6427356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…7a7fbacked Under40c172.35$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over38c171.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.791,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017945.3%81 W · 98 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over45c158.24$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2637948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Under40c156$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.623332.6%76 W · 157 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Under45c152.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6137950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under36c151.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0823948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Over61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.516047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Over53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over57c149.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4921747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c148.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.061,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7503…aa2bbacked Over61c145.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Over50c139.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010039%39 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under52c137.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0630731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under55c129.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.532447.5%154 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under39c128$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0832941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.