Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a9bdffec95d711ba28a30561192f7318ce6fd75fc7290b0a7079d9e57c6b98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Life Esportsof Hanwha Life Esports, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 65c | 146.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed G2 Esports | 35c | 66.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…9a47backed G2 Esports | 50c | 60.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed G2 Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Hanwha Life Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…c49bbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 65c | 23.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.