Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb05f58055bc8419895fdd99ea6c8e39d2d0a0f0b88b6136d9bf1bdb8cb1712f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 76c | 11,366$8,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.26 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 24c | 8,887$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.84 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 24c | 7,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 27c | 1,413$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 76c | 1,279$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.87 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…8527backed Under | 76c | 1,058$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…64b4backed Under | 76c | 1,049$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 24c | 766.3$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Under | 76c | 655.92$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 73c | 640.5$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 16c | 537.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 22c | 445.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Under | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 5c | 354.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 74c | 290.62$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 73c | 253.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Over | 25c | 201.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Over | 20c | 198$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 76c | 134.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…d5d3backed Under | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…c2f7backed Under | 77c | 100.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…ca44backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…79dfbacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Over | 28c | 98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…2e30backed Under | 76c | 77.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…cec1backed Under | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Under | 73c | 67.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…43babacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 26c | 64.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 74c | 56.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778b…5aa2backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…47e2backed Under | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…43edbacked Under | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…91b1backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…bd85backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…ac4abacked Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 117 | 78.6%92 W · 25 L | +19.5wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…60c6backed Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…049abacked Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 75c | 37.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…5bd3backed Over | 27c | 36.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…2892backed Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…945ebacked Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…82a3backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cb…6b96backed Under | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 72c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 75c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…a7abbacked Under | 76c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…222dbacked Under | 76c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.