TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x072c…ac4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 65 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT11778.6%92 W · 25 L+19.5wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Lol — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$9.45
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$5.73
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$13.9
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$29.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+596.1%+$256.89
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.37
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$17.78
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$56.46
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$50.06
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$7.4
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+188.5%+$45.73
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.48
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$9.4
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$15.75
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+197.6%+$19.92
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.