South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1a527acf2c47fe711a463f405bd99acb027b2d0c181f91a9187e8b74b59be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 45c | 19,999$8,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 44c | 6,255$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.75 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 39c | 5,000$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 4,499$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.52 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 2,819$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.14 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 2,242$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 44c | 1,708$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef4…0402backed Yes | 35c | 1,440$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 1,326$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 56c | 1,315$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.49 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 1,243$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.13 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 60c | 1,210$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.87 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 1,131$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.84 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 57c | 1,001$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 34c | 540.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.69 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 523.75$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 79c | 432.93$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 412.52$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 35c | 365.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 44c | 341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 49c | 335.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 54c | 288.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 53c | 253.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 34c | 227$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…e1ffbacked Yes | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…f756backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes | 60c | 162.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 48c | 155.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 41c | 152$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…0f88backed Yes | 33c | 148.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 34c | 143.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 72c | 137.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 62c | 124.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…0902backed Yes | 61c | 122.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 14c | 109.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 41c | 93.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 56c | 80.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 70.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Yes | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Yes | 62c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Yes | 59c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Yes | 61c | 49.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Yes | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 34c | 46.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…49e8backed No | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Yes | 54c | 43.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Yes | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Yes | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked Yes | 53c | 39.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Yes | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked No | 40c | 38.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes | 33c | 37.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 41c | 36.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…a500backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…4ca9backed Yes | 64c | 33.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…12b8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…9229backed Yes | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed No | 66c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked No | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…91b1backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…ac4abacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.