South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2141e9c7c947b4ebf281bdddf8f2874ff2af9621cdb4527bf697a9b113b182fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 3,247$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.48 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 68c | 1,461$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.82 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 1,425$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.88 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…523fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,080$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 29c | 1,030$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.58 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 13c | 775.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…07dfbacked Yes | 14c | 734$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 15c | 660$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 31c | 620.21$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 609$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 594$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…b79dbacked Yes | 4c | 578.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 10c | 411.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 24c | 385$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 350.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 28c | 301$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 24c | 290$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 25c | 282.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 76c | 278$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 273.51$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 12c | 258.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Yes | 16c | 190.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 76c | 162$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f7aabacked Yes | 13c | 161.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…0902backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 32c | 157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 10c | 155.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 20c | 143.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 21c | 139$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 21c | 136$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…bfb8backed Yes | 33c | 51.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 74c | 46.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed No | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…d994backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.