South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf963d92951bc24ba3c7ca3ff4ec59f2f3cfe5da37349d97152be611297634c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 190,311$32,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,590.06 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 19,132$14,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.9 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 15,599$12,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,388.9 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 5,562$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,524$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.65 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 33c | 3,178$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.75 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 25c | 2,682$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.04 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 18c | 2,264$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.37 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…b79dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Yes | 6c | 1,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…b6f5backed Yes | 7c | 1,489$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 77c | 1,320$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…d7eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,301$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…3188backed Yes | 16c | 926.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 907$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 831.33$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…b462backed Yes | 19c | 816.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 62c | 722.54$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 16c | 616.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 33c | 510.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…73cebacked Yes | 10c | 510.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 437.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 18c | 432.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…0902backed Yes | 18c | 413.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 19c | 401.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 78c | 399.12$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 336.46$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f7aabacked Yes | 21c | 272.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 17c | 265.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 40c | 255.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 20c | 250.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…bd64backed Yes | 19c | 215.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 24c | 209.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 27c | 190.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 19c | 163$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 16c | 155$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…9101backed Yes | 17c | 134.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Yes | 39c | 116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 17c | 104.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 21c | 95.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…65c5backed Yes | 31c | 91.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…9229backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6621…c6e5backed Yes | 19c | 75.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…bfb8backed Yes | 16c | 71.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 18c | 59.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…c921backed Yes | 18c | 56.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…5530backed Yes | 25c | 56.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…491abacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed No | 77c | 29.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.