TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Disguised, Dignitas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Dignitas43c37,968$16,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,151.041,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Dignitas22c17,879$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.7167553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Dignitas49c16,000$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,839.956844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Dignitas26c14,405$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.9832150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas46c12,647$5,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,819.651,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Disguised50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00096048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Disguised61c9,938$6,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.5685442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Disguised64c9,476$6,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.521,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised69c7,553$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.71,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Dignitas41c7,500$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.753355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised47c6,879$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.121,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Dignitas54c6,293$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.5329443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed Disguised50c6,002$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00130546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Dignitas26c5,555$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.0951044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Disguised58c4,286$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.2236943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Disguised49c4,070$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.6122048.2%106 W · 114 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b7…fbcfbacked Disguised46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16027367%183 W · 90 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Disguised46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9857957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Dignitas24c3,733$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.251,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed Dignitas54c3,605$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.6415352.9%81 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac3…6ec2backed Disguised58c3,535$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.5511856.8%67 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas29c3,361$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.391,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Dignitas15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.954617.4%8 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Disguised64c2,874$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.7213067.7%88 W · 42 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Disguised74c2,697$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.3914656.2%82 W · 64 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Disguised51c2,537$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.372,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dignitas49c2,509$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.241,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Disguised49c2,455$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.5515752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked Disguised64c2,289$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.3135659%210 W · 146 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Dignitas39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Disguised72c1,945$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5451,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Dignitas50c1,914$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.950845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Disguised51c1,815$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.351,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Disguised66c1,751$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.192,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Dignitas40c1,750$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.4960354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Dignitas1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Disguised74c1,614$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.314552.4%76 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dignitas52c1,410$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.11,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Disguised53c1,375$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.5534255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Dignitas21c1,349$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4417835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Dignitas37c1,333$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7921134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Disguised50c1,313$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.771,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Disguised51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63735058.6%205 W · 145 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Disguised51c1,267$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4713947.5%66 W · 73 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2364…18f2backed Disguised53c1,258$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.019068.9%62 W · 28 L+13.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Disguised70c1,178$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.211,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked Disguised51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1333857.7%195 W · 143 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Dignitas55c1,123$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.431,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Dignitas53c1,123$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.531,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…9900backed Dignitas54c1,103$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Dignitas36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Dignitas11c1,000$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.45831%18 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Dignitas49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49045338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Disguised57c879.99$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.31,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Disguised57c875.2$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.2194444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed Dignitas36c869$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.846051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Disguised58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0715857.6%91 W · 67 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b8…0b16backed Dignitas35c860.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005749.1%28 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b1…4781backed Disguised47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0610155.4%56 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Disguised47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.068264.6%53 W · 29 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Dignitas29c849.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7782953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed Dignitas52c839.19$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.3822746.3%105 W · 122 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe37e…6d97backed Disguised45c815.76$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.678860.2%53 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Dignitas52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9537039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed Disguised50c796.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.3212552.8%66 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Disguised57c765.23$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.831,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Disguised48c761.73$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.441,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Disguised57c744$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8685849.5%425 W · 433 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised57c734.44$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.731,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed Dignitas35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025259.1%149 W · 103 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed Disguised52c673.7$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9134658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked Dignitas30c672.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick28cpaid+13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc904…2025backed Disguised53c670.68$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.033256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Disguised75c667.01$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0119663.3%124 W · 72 L+17.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Disguised57c666.47$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.344261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised63c618.24$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.092,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Dignitas54c605$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Dignitas36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21659450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Dignitas42c600$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.124554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Disguised56c575.03$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.783658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4c…55babacked Disguised51c574$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2610859.3%64 W · 44 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Disguised61c573.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5212340.7%50 W · 73 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Disguised53c537.51$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.54057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Dignitas38c535$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.31,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Dignitas55c534.55$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2946854.4%37 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Disguised76c520$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1139162.7%245 W · 146 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Disguised71c516.99$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.641,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Dignitas28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14095048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Disguised48c497.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7863944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3e5bbacked Disguised70c497.41$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.144067.5%27 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Dignitas55c495.06$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2860053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Disguised61c494.99$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.483,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Disguised74c492.93$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6726371.9%189 W · 74 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Disguised50c476$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408253.7%44 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Dignitas32c443$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8519344%85 W · 108 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Disguised63c432.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0413664%87 W · 49 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Disguised44c417.42$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7628553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Disguised54c416.67$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.363560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Disguised53c407.53$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.373056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Disguised74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.