TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Disguised, Dignitas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$304,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Disguised56c50,663$28,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,191.196048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Dignitas50c21,429$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80027637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Disguised73c18,468$13,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,061.11,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Dignitas52c15,295$7,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,887.276844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Dignitas52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80064155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Disguised48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.923363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Dignitas51c14,000$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.9814342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Disguised49c13,962$6,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,120.583857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Dignitas51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10020748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Disguised48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20014553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Disguised48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bd…7214backed Dignitas0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…30c1backed Dignitas37c9,548$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.249339.8%37 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Dignitas51c8,609$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.155637.5%21 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Disguised48c7,200$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.9359554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec8…1d07backed Disguised50c6,663$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.2112354.5%67 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce1…f3aabacked Dignitas22c6,648$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.75337.7%20 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Dignitas51c6,031$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.5220047%94 W · 106 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Disguised72c4,240$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.2717555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Disguised49c4,079$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.081,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised48c4,015$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.91,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Dignitas52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00050845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Dignitas50c3,627$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.46429.7%19 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised49c3,232$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.751,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked Disguised50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60017852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Disguised49c3,045$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.951,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Disguised48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56085442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Dignitas10c2,961$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.361,20740%483 W · 724 L-63.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed Disguised49c2,938$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.312564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Dignitas46c2,674$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.491,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dignitas48c2,303$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.881,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Disguised49c2,231$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.742,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1047…9036backed Dignitas51c2,147$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.973348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Dignitas51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Dignitas51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.999761.9%60 W · 37 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Dignitas11c1,807$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024326.7%65 W · 178 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Dignitas30c1,658$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Dignitas51c1,625$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.6162151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Dignitas51c1,579$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.2935634.8%124 W · 232 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a0…6d52backed Dignitas50c1,564$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.974650%23 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Dignitas50c1,515$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.59457.4%54 W · 40 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Disguised67c1,487$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.82,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Disguised48c1,486$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.966253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Dignitas52c1,450$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75482454.9%452 W · 372 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Dignitas52c1,385$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.219758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dignitas7c1,347$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.291,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Disguised50c1,222$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.9540933.7%138 W · 271 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Disguised78c1,215$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.752,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Dignitas50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011657.8%67 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Dignitas40c1,200$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4741,02345.1%461 W · 562 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Dignitas17c1,149$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5742540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a6…6c3fbacked Dignitas52c1,112$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Dignitas29c1,037$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6767553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Dignitas50c1,027$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.77744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Dignitas50c1,003$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.511357.5%65 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Dignitas50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Dignitas52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Disguised75c968.52$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.681,05323.4%246 W · 807 L-76.9wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Dignitas51c950.97$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9952848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Dignitas50c905$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.512850%64 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Dignitas50c903.16$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.587838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Dignitas50c893$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.58744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Dignitas29c856.19$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6797254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Dignitas50c840$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42011161.3%68 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Disguised48c806.59$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.8228149.8%140 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf532…6ab4backed Dignitas52c791.46$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.561741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed Disguised58c782.25$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2511851.7%61 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Disguised62c778.13$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9939651%202 W · 194 L+1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed Dignitas52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Disguised50c765.58$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.6296054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Dignitas52c750$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909056.7%51 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Dignitas51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.530151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeea…a22bbacked Dignitas50c722.85$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Disguised48c707.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.738253.7%44 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Disguised78c682.07$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1877641.6%323 W · 453 L-27.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Disguised76c680.88$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1465359.4%388 W · 265 L+70.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xda6f…2ad7backed Dignitas52c647.38$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6411443.9%50 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Dignitas50c633$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.518560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd799…326cbacked Disguised50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005131.4%16 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Dignitas52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9a…000dbacked Dignitas50c546$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.316051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Dignitas52c542.98$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.352839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Disguised49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.222742.7%97 W · 130 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0321…8cb5backed Dignitas50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Dignitas27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Disguised48c476.62$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.161,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Disguised59c463.63$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8126371.9%189 W · 74 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised64c460.29$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.921,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Disguised56c457.22$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dignitas51c442.35$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.61,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed Dignitas23c424.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Dignitas29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11660053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Dignitas51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed Disguised49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046762.7%42 W · 25 L+12.8wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Dignitas51c385.76$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7414339.2%56 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d9…ac79backed Dignitas52c375.88$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4610352.4%54 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Disguised47c358$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19136246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed Dignitas50c356$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Disguised51c346.68$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.521,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.