TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$397,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85b8…0935backed Sentinels0c106,694$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1d…76a0backed Sentinels40c54,344$21,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,602.623138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid65c39,077$25,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,615.921,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Sentinels38c30,700$11,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,543.9222451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid60c20,206$12,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,082.3625546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ac…9722backed Sentinels18c14,883$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.029944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Sentinels38c13,837$5,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,282.1820748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid58c11,473$6,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8421,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Team Liquid65c9,405$6,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.453255.1%293 W · 239 L+23.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Liquid54c7,088$3,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.1811245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Sentinels35c6,238$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.951,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sentinels35c6,104$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.8754134.8%188 W · 353 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Team Liquid62c6,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa759…1119backed Team Liquid56c5,841$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.611367.3%76 W · 37 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Sentinels44c5,648$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46748149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Team Liquid71c5,580$3,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.21,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ac3…eda2backed Sentinels5c4,883$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.774332.6%14 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Sentinels19c4,768$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.7364247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4801,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x847f…459ebacked Team Liquid64c3,480$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sentinels36c3,458$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.11,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked Team Liquid45c3,391$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.0535659%210 W · 146 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Team Liquid60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.3336943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked Team Liquid56c2,832$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.0817852.8%94 W · 84 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Team Liquid61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9914753.1%78 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Team Liquid65c2,496$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.4460354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sentinels44c2,250$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Team Liquid63c2,100$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7771,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Team Liquid60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Liquid64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72029738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Liquid67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66064749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Team Liquid61c1,956$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.6925949%127 W · 132 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sentinels36c1,907$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.951,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Sentinels32c1,841$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2322748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Sentinels35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022953.7%123 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Sentinels35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014452.1%75 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Team Liquid63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.367057.5%385 W · 285 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid66c1,463$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.81,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Liquid60c1,293$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.7566845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid60c1,290$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.2889347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sentinels37c1,283$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.631,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked Sentinels43c1,281$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55026551.7%137 W · 128 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid67c1,265$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.31,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Sentinels48c1,249$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Team Liquid69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37228448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels46c1,177$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.82,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Team Liquid55c1,120$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.9917444.8%78 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Team Liquid63c1,057$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0513549.6%67 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Team Liquid62c1,012$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1330843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid49c1,000$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9896250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Team Liquid64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36029347.8%140 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Team Liquid56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44015147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Team Liquid56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8624554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid59c866.21$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.151,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Team Liquid57c859.97$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9288950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Sentinels32c842.29$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5383460.8%507 W · 327 L+44.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Sentinels17c822.37$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1345657.9%264 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Team Liquid59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32819260.9%117 W · 75 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid62c769.26$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.351,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Sentinels14c712.02$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.91,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid66c711.1$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.452,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37130357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Liquid67c696.27$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2884942.5%361 W · 488 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid57c690$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.651,30147.2%614 W · 687 L-32.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Sentinels41c676.96$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9846050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sentinels5c673.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.831,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Team Liquid61c652.52$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5236452.7%192 W · 172 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Sentinels39c649.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4948143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Sentinels31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20075630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…2d13backed Team Liquid63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9251552.6%271 W · 244 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Liquid62c630$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.449847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Liquid56c628.14$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.251,81839.9%726 W · 1,092 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels44c618.02$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.361,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Team Liquid61c596.24$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5315648.7%76 W · 80 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Team Liquid68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2482650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fdb…7857backed Team Liquid65c578.08$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.088373.5%61 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Sentinels48c554.19$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3460347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked Team Liquid56c532.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5812246.7%57 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed Team Liquid57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3216146%74 W · 87 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Sentinels45c500.2$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9742540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Sentinels5c500.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Team Liquid63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1853537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4641…26bebacked Team Liquid65c500$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.52580%20 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Team Liquid57c489.47$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4746846.8%219 W · 249 L-23.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Sentinels7c486.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7866116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team Liquid63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.191,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid64c455.24$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8948847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Sentinels38c447.37$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17055347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Sentinels34c441.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Team Liquid56c434.89$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3515240.1%61 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Team Liquid60c424.01$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0182161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0146…5ba0backed Sentinels37c421.29$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.885932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sentinels4c421.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.852,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…30c1backed Team Liquid48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.679339.8%37 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Team Liquid72c409.07$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1919259.9%115 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Sentinels38c407.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8569857.4%401 W · 297 L+37.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf071…04d6backed Team Liquid55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18013336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Team Liquid66c400$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1376852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.