Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c700e65a6a901fc7d017fb8837519c9513009e22994a378cc9e8f89d1665cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 46c | 2,452$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.75 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.96 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 39c | 1,009$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.85 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.87 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 41c | 727.05$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 44c | 459.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 57c | 365$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 30c | 360.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 36c | 197$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Over | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 57c | 181.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 63c | 164$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Under | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 69c | 150.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 68c | 132.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 61c | 84.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 78.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 43c | 58.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 60c | 56.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 33c | 30.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 51c | 29.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 58c | 28.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 42c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Over | 43c | 23.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 61c | 21.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 209 | 67%140 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 59c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 62c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 59c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Sentinels won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.