Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d599638dd2ac7549e586706d50fcc715f2f2a69e344bcd4c7dee9c8d29479b6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Sentinels
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,508 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf377…4159backed Sentinels	54c	10,000$5,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.4	207	48.8%101 W · 106 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Sentinels	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,839.97	145	53.1%77 W · 68 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Team Liquid	52c	6,076$3,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,938.72	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed Team Liquid	46c	5,000$2,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,706.52	276	37.3%103 W · 173 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sentinels	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.99	595	54.1%322 W · 273 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Team Liquid	49c	2,458$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,258.19	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Sentinels	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	311	37.6%117 W · 194 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Liquid	52c	1,881$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.86	283	53.4%151 W · 132 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Sentinels	52c	1,409$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.78	642	43%276 W · 366 L	-27.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Team Liquid	55c	1,376$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.25	389	63%245 W · 144 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Team Liquid	48c	1,370$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.18	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…30c1backed Team Liquid	44c	1,328$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.46	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Team Liquid	46c	1,304$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.35	229	53.7%123 W · 106 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid	59c	1,195$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.89	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Team Liquid	52c	1,154$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.85	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Liquid	52c	1,001$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.21	237	49.4%117 W · 120 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Team Liquid	47c	1,000$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535	225	36.9%83 W · 142 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Team Liquid	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	96	58.3%56 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid	52c	903.57$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.72	1,044	50.4%526 W · 518 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Sentinels	55c	882.31$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.27	372	45.2%168 W · 204 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Team Liquid	49c	770.23$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.23	503	44.9%226 W · 277 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sentinels	47c	721.98$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.99	2,923	44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L	-91.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Sentinels	49c	627.16$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.17	1,110	49%544 W · 566 L	+42.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Liquid	49c	619.99$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.2	2,362	32%755 W · 1,607 L	+42.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Team Liquid	49c	614.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.55	322	53.1%171 W · 151 L	+19.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed Sentinels	53c	599.99$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid	52c	586.92$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.42	1,007	47.9%482 W · 525 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Sentinels	59c	487.8$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.8	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Team Liquid	47c	410$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.3	113	40.7%46 W · 67 L	-12.4wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Sentinels	48c	408.26$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.96	960	54.2%520 W · 440 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Team Liquid	49c	302.66$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.36	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Team Liquid	51c	295.17$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.17	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team Liquid	46c	283$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.82	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Sentinels	54c	278.81$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	269	50.9%137 W · 132 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sentinels	55c	272.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	650	63.2%411 W · 239 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Sentinels	53c	263.7$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	362	46.4%168 W · 194 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Team Liquid	52c	232.69$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.69	390	55.4%216 W · 174 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Liquid	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Liquid	46c	214.16$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.83	1,168	66.1%772 W · 396 L	+69.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Team Liquid	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	538	29.4%158 W · 380 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Team Liquid	47c	199.99$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	215	48.4%104 W · 111 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Team Liquid	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Team Liquid	50c	190$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	442	45.9%203 W · 239 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Sentinels	53c	189.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	524	41%215 W · 309 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Team Liquid	78c	182.94$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.86	389	31.9%124 W · 265 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Sentinels	49c	175.53$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.01	488	47.3%231 W · 257 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Sentinels	23c	133.34$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	86	18.6%16 W · 70 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Liquid	48c	113.9$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.23	1,301	38.6%502 W · 799 L	-65.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Team Liquid	48c	109.98$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.19	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Team Liquid	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	254	41.7%106 W · 148 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Team Liquid	46c	105.85$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.16	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…47e6backed Sentinels	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Liquid	49c	96$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.96	461	48.8%225 W · 236 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Team Liquid	48c	89.42$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.5	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Team Liquid	50c	89.02$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.51	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Sentinels	51c	82.03$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	396	52%206 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Team Liquid	50c	80.3$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	207	39.1%81 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Liquid	63c	75$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.75	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid	63c	75$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.85	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Liquid	46c	73.6$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.74	1,300	49.2%639 W · 661 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…1540backed Team Liquid	45c	71.97$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.58	210	60%126 W · 84 L	+9.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked Team Liquid	49c	71.09$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.45	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Team Liquid	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	692	47%325 W · 367 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked Team Liquid	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	351	46.2%162 W · 189 L	+11.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Team Liquid	49c	65$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.15	260	48.8%127 W · 133 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Liquid	45c	60$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	647	49.9%323 W · 324 L	-24.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Sentinels	43c	56$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	450	44.7%201 W · 249 L	-29.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sentinels	34c	55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Sentinels	46c	53.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	972	54.3%528 W · 444 L	+46.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Liquid	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…2ad7backed Team Liquid	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Team Liquid	61c	40.58$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	628	26%163 W · 465 L	-89.3wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Team Liquid	51c	38.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.85	381	44.6%170 W · 211 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Sentinels	50c	36.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	207	64.7%134 W · 73 L	+24.2wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Liquid	40c	36.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	1,133	31.1%352 W · 781 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Team Liquid	50c	35.96$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.08	644	35.4%228 W · 416 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Team Liquid	50c	31.51$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.91	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Sentinels	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	420	44%185 W · 235 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Team Liquid	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	135	37%50 W · 85 L	-10.4wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Team Liquid	50c	28.77$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	396	51%202 W · 194 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Team Liquid	47c	23.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.2	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Team Liquid	62c	18.05$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.95	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
First Blood in Game 1?Sentinels won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid won
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event