TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No70c24,150$16,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,787.582,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c20,539$5,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,182.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes64c7,429$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.768,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c5,454$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes31c4,814$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.783,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes27c4,072$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.8774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes70c3,549$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.345428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c2,326$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.182,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes31c2,042$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.1724635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.0164443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes29c2,000$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.674429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes28c1,800$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.3692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes30c1,616$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.31,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c1,381$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes27c1,378$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.7871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No1c1,344$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed No67c1,245$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.9916953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No44c1,053$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Yes31c647.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.528540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes34c628.78$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.789832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No32c608.06$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.732,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3131…a35dbacked Yes48c590.46$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.558551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes29c585.15$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5758029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Yes31c550.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.92250%11 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No21c518.17$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.231,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No61c505.34$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.8515932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017959.2%106 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c499.98$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.491,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes28c400.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd26…d405backed Yes67c386.6$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.583554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes75c378.96$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes29c345$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.957038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff5…ef39backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.123141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.719150.5%46 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes34c253.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.445528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes30c239.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.861,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes30c238.6$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.021,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes27c234$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.823,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes30c216.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.671520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes30c195.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.115240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes36c183.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.337963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes52c169.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2362452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087044.3%31 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Yes28c149.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9815246.1%70 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Yes69c144.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.24582.2%37 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes31c130$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.739956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes27c116$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.681,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes41c113.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1678234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6b…2a84backed Yes68c101.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.472737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7227434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e6…3c3fbacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked No25c96.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5734844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes66c95.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.816540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes33c89.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1969744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13d…afc3backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3335614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No31c79.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5764850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No35c78.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes30c76.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6735612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd34…2c0abacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4329141.6%121 W · 170 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…0462backed Yes29c68.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No71c62.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.963,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…d62fbacked Yes72c62.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.754663%29 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No48c61.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4937644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b3…f8c1backed No73c50.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.572070%14 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358640.7%35 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked No71c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4311642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes30c41.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4131550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes30c39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x965c…ec2bbacked No72c33.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd264…f6bdbacked No72c31.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234252.4%22 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Yes50c30.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0211547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x072c…ac4abacked Yes75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe277…3788backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.344,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…6cc3backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0476…50b3backed No72c26.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9111249.1%55 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc97a…7bdebacked Yes78c21.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.842676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b5…c3bcbacked Yes74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.274971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f56…e68bbacked Yes80c13.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.