Fifa International · resolved market
Curaçao leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86dc41ccced6e3e167ca1763787f5ec1532c6e77a04cb6aea4affdb7dfc0a621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 6c | 16,897$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.29 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked Yes | 6c | 14,337$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.34 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 7c | 14,325$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 8,690$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.85 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Yes | 7c | 1,857$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 1,751$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 3c | 1,616$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 1,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,455$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,288$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 1,022$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 7c | 868.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…7934backed Yes | 7c | 768.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 764.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 2c | 755.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 6c | 558.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 6c | 530.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 5c | 526.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…2cbfbacked Yes | 7c | 441.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 6c | 399$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 382.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 6c | 334.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…e331backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 276.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 6c | 253.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 6c | 186.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 175$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…ca67backed Yes | 7c | 159.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Curaçao leading at halftime?this page
- Ecuador leading at halftime?No won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.