Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc313a5d91855f796d29c66e5a537739c69cb869215e244b3009f226bf714e6fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 129,153$14,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,926.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 49,253$24,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,248 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 59c | 38,166$22,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,369.89 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 22,646$10,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,978.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 59c | 18,555$11,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,023.79 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.98 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 33c | 13,999$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,379.39 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 33c | 12,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,374.98 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 66c | 10,164$6,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700.88 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 65c | 9,659$6,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,326.04 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 39c | 8,309$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.58 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 7,758$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 67c | 7,320$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…9a41backed Yes | 67c | 6,450$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 6,201$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,935.08 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 50c | 6,024$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 5,711$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.33 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed No | 53c | 5,437$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.61 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 5,026$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.28 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 53c | 4,969$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.53 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 20c | 4,918$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 49c | 4,420$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.78 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.87 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Yes | 66c | 3,527$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.88 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 33c | 3,161$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.81 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 35c | 3,100$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.98 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 67c | 3,035$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.04 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 67c | 2,993$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 33c | 2,985$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.24 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 33c | 2,968$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.29 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 34c | 2,644$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.71 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 56c | 2,430$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.79 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 67c | 2,406$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.89 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 35c | 2,165$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.06 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 35c | 2,110$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.9 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 56c | 2,050$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.58 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 64c | 2,031$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.97 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.78 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,770$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.9 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 37c | 1,763$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 58c | 1,737$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,731$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.77 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 55c | 1,687$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.56 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 1,591$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 45c | 1,531$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.18 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 44c | 1,491$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.81 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…748abacked Yes | 67c | 1,272$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 65c | 1,191$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.45 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed No | 36c | 1,172$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.22 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 50c | 1,124$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.3 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…1b33backed Yes | 67c | 1,010$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Yes | 39c | 922.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 900$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…d9b0backed Yes | 65c | 882.34$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.52 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 34c | 815$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 65c | 809.39$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.1 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 34c | 800$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.33 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 49c | 788.2$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 35c | 712.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 52c | 685.24$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.68 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05b…3bf2backed Yes | 66c | 675.76$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Yes | 60c | 642.54$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…5b4fbacked Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 34c | 568.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.54 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 66c | 566.65$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.99 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 38c | 526.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 40c | 503.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.19 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Yes | 54c | 477.45$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 66c | 477.27$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 432.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.3 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…4869backed Yes | 59c | 423.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 34c | 421.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 35c | 420$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 34c | 419.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.79 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 44c | 418.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 66c | 401.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.29 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 34c | 400.84$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.55 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 63c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 399.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 59c | 388.76$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.37 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 33c | 384.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 57c | 380.37$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 373$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador leading at halftime?this page
- Curaçao leading at halftime?No won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.