Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f31e560a8f00a40d0db179caa41f7ca4ddfb8c4c623d865716354e508f9459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 79c | 7,879$6,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.6 | 1,106 | 43.9%486 W · 620 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 75c | 5,217$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.66 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,130$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.45 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 66c | 2,441$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 48c | 2,205$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.66 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked No | 68c | 1,804$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.48 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 32c | 1,720$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.28 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked No | 77c | 999$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 31c | 990.52$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.18 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 39c | 742.17$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…865abacked Yes | 32c | 590$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 546.85$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdf…b8a7backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…71b4backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes | 44c | 476$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 456$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 19c | 446.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 48c | 441.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked Yes | 19c | 420$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 34c | 408.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 28c | 374.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 73c | 363.24$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66be…19e5backed No | 61c | 346.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 297.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…8e9abacked Yes | 37c | 291.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 291$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 20c | 243.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 28c | 208$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e200backed Yes | 16c | 203.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -60%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…db38backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…edfbbacked No | 45c | 199.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 52c | 175.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…7c69backed Yes | 13c | 171.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…7676backed No | 71c | 169.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…25f8backed Yes | 49c | 166.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…d4eebacked Yes | 28c | 158$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 130.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 14c | 129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…5216backed No | 57c | 118.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…baefbacked No | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…a68bbacked No | 69c | 110.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f5…0125backed No | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed No | 54c | 106.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 25c | 100.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…0eb8backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…6493backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…b6e9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d7…256bbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…fe2dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x565d…492ebacked No | 72c | 95.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 16c | 95.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 19c | 94.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…fe94backed Yes | 17c | 93.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 79c | 91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 25c | 88.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…b62abacked No | 52c | 78.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked Yes | 29c | 70.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa01a…8fdabacked Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 21c | 62.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6014backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…2a2fbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed No | 77c | 55.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 52.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…73e6backed Yes | 29c | 51.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 78c | 51.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed Yes | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…ac4abacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…fb65backed Yes | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 30c | 36.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 36c | 32.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…7005backed No | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…4c08backed No | 63c | 31.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…e1e8backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of January?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of January?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.