TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Stocks · resolved market

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Stocks
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x969f…4d55backed No79c7,879$6,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.61,10643.9%486 W · 620 L+27.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed No75c5,217$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.669324.7%23 W · 70 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…043ebacked Yes18c3,130$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.452814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No66c2,441$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83881240.3%327 W · 485 L+37.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes48c2,205$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.6656548.7%275 W · 290 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa78…f40bbacked No68c1,804$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.4813751.1%70 W · 67 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes32c1,720$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.282611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-74.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca28…2f7cbacked No77c999$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.463423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes31c990.52$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1848234%164 W · 318 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes39c742.17$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29222129%64 W · 157 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1863100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9382…865abacked Yes32c590$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No64c546.85$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.851927.6%143 W · 376 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…5850backed No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdf…b8a7backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…71b4backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes44c476$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.73129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes8c456$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.04924.3%4 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb4…b997backed Yes19c446.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.799038%376 W · 614 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes48c441.96$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.994934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f3…5dbdbacked Yes19c420$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-90.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes34c408.93$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.915131.1%47 W · 104 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed Yes28c374.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5860229.9%180 W · 422 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb2…c640backed No73c363.24$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.024738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Yes44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66be…19e5backed No61c346.91$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244168.7%36 W · 380 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes33c297.84$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3586338.1%329 W · 534 L-43.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc293…8e9abacked Yes37c291.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8660%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes27c291$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.161,4438.8%127 W · 1,316 L-53.1wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes20c243.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9123245.3%105 W · 127 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes28c208$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7210827.8%30 W · 78 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3aff…e200backed Yes16c203.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…da43backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-60%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-79%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edc…db38backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81b…edfbbacked No45c199.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes52c175.32$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993e…7c69backed Yes13c171.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1b…7676backed No71c169.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0d…25f8backed Yes49c166.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…d4eebacked Yes28c158$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.24922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes36c130.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2727429.2%80 W · 194 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.416248.1%78 W · 84 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes14c129$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.471,77549%869 W · 906 L+141.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc1…5216backed No57c118.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.811266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ceb…baefbacked No71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.682445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1588…a68bbacked No69c110.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f5…0125backed No69c110$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x402e…5d12backed No54c106.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes36c105$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.843838.8%170 W · 268 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed Yes25c100.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9510427.9%29 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127338.1%104 W · 169 L-19.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb04e…0eb8backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c74…6493backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558a…b6e9backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7d7…256bbacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaff…fe2dbacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a3…29dbbacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x565d…492ebacked No72c95.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes16c95.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes19c94.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.342718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e8…fe94backed Yes17c93.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.964845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+51.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No79c91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.837726%20 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes25c88.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3719419.1%37 W · 157 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ef…b62abacked No52c78.39$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…dcccbacked Yes29c70.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.531414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa01a…8fdabacked Yes22c69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes21c62.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No59c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.155937.3%22 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…6014backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239f…2a2fbacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1890%0 W · 9 L-5.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa3fb…4a87backed No77c55.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No77c52.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.216949.1%83 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…73e6backed Yes29c51.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf124…9d72backed No78c51.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc39d…4891backed Yes22c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52450%12 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes21c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e01…63bebacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512360.2%74 W · 49 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.213147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x072c…ac4abacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed Yes46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47d…fb65backed Yes51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a3…b461backed Yes30c36.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes36c32.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.669026.7%24 W · 66 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x194a…7005backed No60c31.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f5…4c08backed No63c31.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes48c30.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4616418.9%31 W · 133 L-16.7wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38fc…33e2backed Yes48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07e0…e1e8backed No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.