Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061f777e384a7967f1a9bfb5319736462d35943621d1f3a9ac151e17cedd25ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66be…19e5backed No | 26c | 7,028$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes | 51c | 3,265$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 56c | 2,188$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.03 | 1,114 | 43.6%486 W · 628 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 43c | 1,531$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.12 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 29c | 1,306$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.49 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 42c | 1,302$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.66 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 58c | 1,014$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.83 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked No | 42c | 1,001$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.63 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 50c | 924.82$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.86 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1055…22e5backed No | 32c | 782.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 58c | 747.37$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 49c | 707.09$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.61 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 14c | 707$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 31c | 663$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked No | 60c | 529$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.43 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d32…cc64backed Yes | 66c | 526$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed No | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 43c | 472.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22b…9a59backed Yes | 54c | 451$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 431.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Yes | 62c | 400$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…243ebacked Yes | 55c | 371.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 50c | 313.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 298.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1,445 | 8.8%127 W · 1,318 L | -53.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 47c | 294.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 39c | 266.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.53 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 39c | 254.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 26c | 248.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…89c0backed No | 31c | 241.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 43c | 212.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 27c | 196.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed No | 40c | 191$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 48c | 176.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…ec00backed Yes | 30c | 175.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed No | 55c | 166.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ac…217cbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 60c | 141$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked No | 41c | 137.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 59c | 129$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83cb…c08bbacked Yes | 72c | 120.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…2015backed Yes | 52c | 116.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 47c | 114.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 26c | 108.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…f3b6backed Yes | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 100.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 35c | 97.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Yes | 64c | 96.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…ed0abacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 32c | 90.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4a56backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd1…b942backed Yes | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed No | 27c | 85.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 34c | 85.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…3660backed Yes | 73c | 81.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce46…9057backed Yes | 52c | 76.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 34c | 72.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 69.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…d199backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…331dbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…b21dbacked No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 52c | 65.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…2d5ebacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…e274backed No | 46c | 57.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…f889backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…653fbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 56c | 54.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed No | 45c | 45.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…d925backed No | 24c | 43.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…8100backed No | 24c | 43.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…1646backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…0af6backed No | 30c | 41.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…63a4backed No | 26c | 41.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…2440backed Yes | 52c | 37.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…b728backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…ddc7backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Yes | 66c | 27.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…71adbacked No | 60c | 23.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…d535backed Yes | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…80f6backed No | 56c | 22.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5720…0fc1backed No | 57c | 21.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…7c69backed Yes | 51c | 20.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…4c3fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of January?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of January?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.