Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9a17ff56ad58bb7a4bb56d73dabd9a45c726f61a4042d04cc49165e96f08a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 74c | 3,984$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.31 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 32c | 3,665$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.84 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked No | 22c | 3,639$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.67 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 30c | 2,276$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.24 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 33c | 1,945$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.12 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 26c | 1,866$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.45 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed No | 20c | 1,738$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.44 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked No | 25c | 1,522$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.09 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 25c | 1,389$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.12 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2ac4backed Yes | 70c | 1,327$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 28c | 1,135$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.21 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Yes | 68c | 1,081$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes | 68c | 1,077$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 16c | 1,008$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked No | 20c | 950.92$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 36c | 949.18$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.27 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked Yes | 67c | 780.16$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ac…217cbacked No | 56c | 689.59$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…e1e8backed No | 18c | 571$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 63c | 546.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 33c | 535.46$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked No | 27c | 530$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 74c | 508.15$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 18c | 500.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 27c | 481.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa854…3856backed No | 39c | 479.87$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 397.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed No | 10c | 382.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 7c | 351.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3254…07f6backed No | 22c | 318.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 19c | 282.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed Yes | 76c | 282.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…73e6backed Yes | 76c | 280.72$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 12c | 267.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…8e9abacked No | 33c | 266.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 27c | 257.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…ee63backed Yes | 76c | 255.47$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 21c | 234$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 226.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 225$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 52c | 195$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 154.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 28c | 154.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…eb64backed No | 23c | 148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 36c | 143$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 25c | 139.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…ed0abacked Yes | 80c | 129.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 127.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 17c | 120.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 32c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…887cbacked Yes | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…2c52backed No | 18c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…d4eebacked No | 19c | 103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…8cadbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…6738backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…02adbacked No | 56c | 99.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…bb51backed Yes | 69c | 99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 33c | 97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 79c | 86.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 83.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…8100backed No | 22c | 76.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 73.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…2015backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…aa46backed Yes | 80c | 60.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41fd…4bf8backed No | 23c | 53.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…e274backed No | 35c | 50.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…7734backed No | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…694cbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…8fb6backed Yes | 76c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…7c6fbacked Yes | 76c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of January?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of January?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of January?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.