Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec336aa9ad62bb2f881b35924bcdf78af327f012d896ec6f629e4f453b049d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 2,472$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.46 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 45c | 1,606$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.68 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 59c | 1,395$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.39 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 1,254$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.66 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 27c | 1,179$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.17 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 43c | 1,023$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.3 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Over | 43c | 752.68$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.65 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 632.52$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Over | 30c | 616.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 51c | 583.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 41c | 533.74$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 56c | 492.48$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.69 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 41c | 474.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 467.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Over | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 372$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 352.71$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Under | 52c | 348.67$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.36 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…52adbacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Over | 45c | 320.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 311.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…4147backed Over | 15c | 304.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…c3fbbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 78c | 298.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 255.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 251.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 29c | 251$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…6110backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 245.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Under | 57c | 239.21$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…18d6backed Under | 57c | 235.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…10a0backed Under | 63c | 223.33$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 43c | 220.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over | 47c | 213.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…72b3backed Over | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 196$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 195.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 179.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 30c | 177.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 58c | 171.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 70c | 165.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 56c | 139.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x241d…bb60backed Over | 13c | 139$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 59c | 128.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 40c | 125.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7603backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Under | 57c | 123.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 71c | 119$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Over | 29c | 116.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 30c | 115.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…c754backed Over | 44c | 113.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 113.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 44c | 112.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…264dbacked Over | 46c | 108.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…529abacked Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 39c | 106$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…ca8ebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 58c | 98.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 30c | 94.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…0873backed Over | 48c | 88.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…eeeabacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 55c | 85.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ca28backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…d95bbacked Under | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Under | 58c | 69.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 300 | 60%180 W · 120 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6751…f213backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 62.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 61c | 61.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…14e4backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…8728backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…2217backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…779ebacked Over | 45c | 43.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…e370backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Over | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…d99cbacked Under | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Under | 59c | 34.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Under | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 55c | 33.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…2e06backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerAustria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.