Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e6b449129d539d3a93469c3b68b2436f81ff6047b9f08f128a8614c36a06276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 50c | 9,878$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.77 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 50c | 3,743$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.27 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…10a0backed Under | 51c | 2,574$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 2,020$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.68 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Over | 47c | 1,330$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 16c | 1,250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 1,200$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 24c | 1,031$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.33 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 59c | 1,014$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.72 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 13c | 923.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 804.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Over | 49c | 714.28$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.02 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 51c | 710.16$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.02 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 615.62$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 46c | 551.48$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 476.23$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.78 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Under | 62c | 450$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 62c | 391.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 58c | 366.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 62c | 289.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 50c | 285.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 271.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Over | 56c | 257$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 56c | 250$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 26c | 235.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…1d6fbacked Over | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 46c | 193.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241d…bb60backed Over | 9c | 168$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 136.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 119.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Over | 53c | 112.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385d…3119backed Under | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 41c | 107.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Under | 52c | 101.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…c754backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 44c | 96.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 41c | 90.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…fa11backed Over | 51c | 85.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…2e0abacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 204 | 51.5%105 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…f5f0backed Under | 55c | 81.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over | 62c | 81.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 26c | 77.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 20c | 74.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 21c | 69.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Under | 80c | 62.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…4870backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Under | 37c | 62.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…fbb3backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 62c | 59.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 59c | 50.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…97a3backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 45.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…ae5abacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 75c | 35.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 50c | 34.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4146backed Over | 35c | 32.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 145 | 12.4%18 W · 127 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Under | 40c | 32.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 52c | 31.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 63c | 31.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…58f8backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 28.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Over | 59c | 19.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e902backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerAustria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.