Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x549ab9e0962879b846360bb51d6aebe5061b808e336fbd90d23b379f49440312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 46c | 2,194$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 61c | 1,542$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.05 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 69c | 1,020$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc812…0fccbacked Over | 33c | 933.45$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 412.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 339.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Over | 31c | 314.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 71c | 229.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 24c | 213.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Over | 44c | 111.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 61c | 99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 33c | 77.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 78c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 22c | 49.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Over | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 63c | 21.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…6e6abacked Under | 69c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 70c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerAustria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.