Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c11826fae493ef1bd104f11d231a9a4ee35c51604096386793cb2b1e5f51487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 28c | 1,028$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 35c | 838.84$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 59c | 789.93$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.31 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 11c | 762.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc812…0fccbacked Under | 42c | 733.29$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 42c | 669.18$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.06 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 61c | 422$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 323.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 62c | 288.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 288.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 40c | 256.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 236.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…184abacked Over | 57c | 224.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 115.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 59c | 113$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 109.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Under | 34c | 74.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…f924backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 37.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 54c | 34.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerAustria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.