Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9ea4eab410d3c190a8c3f9e1b3a0ae25eb13ab6d2427f7f24db75c8dfc8ac11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 42c | 3,535$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 978.89$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.4 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 836.58$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.48 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 614.92$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Over | 35c | 518.32$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 122 | 37.7%46 W · 76 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 449.41$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 54c | 443.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Under | 66c | 309.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 67c | 284.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 60c | 179$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 56c | 165.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 123$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 56c | 108.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 56c | 106.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 37c | 85.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 83.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 61c | 78.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 74.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 54c | 68.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…20d8backed Under | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 75c | 51.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 54c | 29.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Austria: Team to Take First CornerAustria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.