TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde6e…eeea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9339.8%37 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.17
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$77.39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.68
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.58
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.22
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+74.8%+$14.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$105.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.