MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x871d6dd18226a33d117eb4c23ec9df64e1d7b8aae3ed5185b93c5bb9cc003291

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, New York Mets
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $136,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,333 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked New York Mets	49c	44,329$21,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,721.25	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	44,120$22,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,759.35	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb939…da70backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	23,718$11,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,033.25	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Milwaukee Brewers	52c	10,300$5,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,945.46	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb46…fe05backed New York Mets	49c	9,950$4,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,875.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets	49c	8,580$4,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,171.39	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	50c	5,855$2,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,936.8	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	52c	5,701$2,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,941.55	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets	49c	5,012$2,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,477.24	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	4,520$2,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.61	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Mets	51c	4,182$2,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.84	776	47.4%368 W · 408 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	4,069$2,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,993.63	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Mets	50c	4,053$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.27	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	3,801$1,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,862.35	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f1b…f28abacked New York Mets	51c	3,371$1,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,713.19	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets	52c	2,655$1,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370.81	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	2,547$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,298.97	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers	49c	2,382$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets	52c	2,048$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.96	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Mets	51c	1,642$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.77	457	48.6%222 W · 235 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets	49c	1,258$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.59	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed New York Mets	29c	1,226$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.08	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	+8.9wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	51c	1,067$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.36	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	1,004$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.83	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1713…1986backed New York Mets	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets	50c	943.22$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.46	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	880$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.8	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed New York Mets	51c	870$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.33	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Mets	53c	753.5$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.07	1,038	51.7%537 W · 501 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb935…6710backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	656.22$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Mets	50c	631.6$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.8	483	39.8%192 W · 291 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Mets	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed New York Mets	52c	553.87$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.47	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	503.21$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.61	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.31	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	281	52%146 W · 135 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dab…9f7bbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	490$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets	54c	451.88$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.08	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	430$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.7	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Mets	52c	413.96$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.26	546	42.5%232 W · 314 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	403.76$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.84	370	52.2%193 W · 177 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75c…bb4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	383.04$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.52	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+4.8wins	+0.23per pick	53cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers	47c	336$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.04	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed New York Mets	50c	309.4$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.41	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	586	52.7%309 W · 277 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked New York Mets	49c	296.24$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.16	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	652	48.3%315 W · 337 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers	69c	289.17$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.64	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca70…3bafbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	233.18$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.26	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed New York Mets	49c	227$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.23	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets	49c	205$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Mets	54c	203.72$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	432	47%203 W · 229 L	-19.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	109	61.5%67 W · 42 L	+8.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Milwaukee Brewers	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	173	48%83 W · 90 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	231	45.5%105 W · 126 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed New York Mets	51c	199.52$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.32	568	51.4%292 W · 276 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed New York Mets	53c	191.98$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.51	739	49.8%368 W · 371 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets	52c	186$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.72	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked New York Mets	51c	152.94$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked New York Mets	53c	146.75$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.26	404	47.8%193 W · 211 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	143.14$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.14	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets	49c	140$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…a257backed New York Mets	49c	136.43$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648f…bb7bbacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	129.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.02	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	117.65$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.65	391	49.1%192 W · 199 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	112.82$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	188	55.3%104 W · 84 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed New York Mets	49c	111.11$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.44	736	53%390 W · 346 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets	30c	107$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.17	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	102$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.98	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Mets	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	185	56.2%104 W · 81 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked New York Mets	51c	99.97$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.98	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	544	55.1%300 W · 244 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	88.49$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.49	244	44.7%109 W · 135 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0460…7137backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	88.24$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.24	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Milwaukee Brewers	47c	80.7$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.42	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	197	54.8%108 W · 89 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Mets	30c	79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460b…4d66backed New York Mets	50c	73.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.1wins	-0.29per pick	51cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers	73c	70$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets	49c	61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets	49c	60.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets	54c	58.9$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Milwaukee Brewers	48c	55.77$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-10.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc07…5ccabacked New York Mets	52c	51.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e2…af02backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2461…3eefbacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event