Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08ecaa729b0e4f249461572a30cee6723a28729015c877399e6589f004a89e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 7,340$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.98 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 19c | 2,153$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.76 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 2,040$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.29 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 63c | 1,625$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 37c | 1,499$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.55 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 55c | 896.36$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 63c | 796.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.06 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 69c | 737.52$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.63 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 499.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 459.72$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.06 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 62c | 438$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Under | 23c | 435.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 77c | 420$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…2a84backed Under | 48c | 418.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 37c | 404$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 36c | 268.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 50c | 241.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 54c | 219$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 214.8$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 37c | 199$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 64c | 195.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…0a32backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 61c | 164.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 162.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 152$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 140.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 62c | 120.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 37c | 103.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 36c | 87.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 34c | 87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Under | 38c | 83.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 39c | 74.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 69.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 63c | 69.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 63c | 63.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Under | 38c | 60.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…a358backed Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…e905backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 49.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 38c | 46.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Over | 63c | 42.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 46c | 42.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 61c | 39.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 37c | 39.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…eeeabacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 63c | 38.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 45c | 33.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -7.6wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Under | 41c | 25.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 65c | 24.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5this page
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.