South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf09b33fe3a4a1ea01da64118aa616f5f2dd44c70fd0793291de5fd83762bc02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 56c | 14,673$8,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200.61 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 44c | 10,879$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092.28 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 44c | 6,000$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.97 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 2,913$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 55c | 2,106$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.57 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 2,106$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 1,373$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.28 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 1,243$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.84 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 799.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 548.28$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 541.18$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.65 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 56c | 537.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 469.28$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Yes | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No | 46c | 318.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 284.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 277$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Yes | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 203.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed No | 46c | 194.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 54c | 184.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 12c | 178.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 44c | 149.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 7c | 149.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 23c | 138.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 124.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Yes | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 120.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 56c | 96.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Yes | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e48…a7bcbacked Yes | 56c | 89.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 45c | 86.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…0984backed Yes | 58c | 84.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 56c | 72.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 59.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 54c | 47.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…eeeabacked Yes | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…f17fbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Yes | 56c | 26.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Botafogo FR O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.