South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69aca4a6571e1ba46dff43c03afc59fc9333bde83ada74c409c9ae4bbffd04ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 9,848$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.97 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…59b3backed Under | 53c | 3,719$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 3,360$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 65c | 1,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.85 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 44c | 1,150$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.85 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 70c | 936.57$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 839.22$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.42 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 47c | 795.09$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.22 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Under | 6c | 707.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.5 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 592.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 36c | 569.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 10c | 547.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.73 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Under | 78c | 547.31$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 72c | 525.26$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 425.84$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.75 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…aa02backed Over | 27c | 418.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Over | 5c | 416.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 25c | 375.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.15 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 74c | 324.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.63 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 7c | 321.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.29 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 221.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…e991backed Under | 34c | 158.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 144$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 36c | 138.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 73c | 115.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 104.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 51c | 93.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 61c | 80.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 52c | 78.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 70c | 78.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…cf4ebacked Under | 55c | 56.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 22c | 45.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 55c | 32.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…b882backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed Over | 62c | 29.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 55c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 68c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…5d70backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Botafogo FR O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.