South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x531ec86b9d799aa2c37933cd1eecf0ed1b468112ede280284252f0fa361d119b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.97 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,281$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 74c | 685.33$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.77 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 3c | 450.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 42c | 400.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.31 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 57c | 272.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 242.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 198.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 163.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 72c | 160$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 23c | 118$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 115.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 111.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 65.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…e991backed Under | 39c | 55.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 72c | 40.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…8dcbbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 41c | 38.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 43c | 36.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 72c | 36.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 71c | 32.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 58c | 32.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 57c | 31.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 68c | 20.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Botafogo FR O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.