South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef46519e5f2b997e40321f83b3695c3266671b5b98f0016a52e0e06548be26a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Under | 55c | 4,969$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 4,833$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.48 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 2,952$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.37 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 2,474$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.76 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.91 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 23c | 1,875$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.64 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 1,426$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.02 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 1,375$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.2 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,043$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.16 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 518.54$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.19 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 471$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.96 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 8c | 413.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 32c | 239.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 77c | 188$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 145.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 23c | 140$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Over | 78c | 128.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 113.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 76c | 99.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…2744backed Over | 77c | 83.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Under | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 77c | 71.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Over | 26c | 64.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 72c | 55.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 39c | 43.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…db66backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +109%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 54c | 33.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 21.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Botafogo FR O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: EC Vitória O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.