TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb00b…f17f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Zack Wheeler: Strikeouts O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$11.09
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$32.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$10.32
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$22.97
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.