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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0145…35d0backed Over53c9,375$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over4c6,892$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.722,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over53c4,678$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002544%11 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c4,325$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.713,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c3,818$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.272,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over52c3,639$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.513461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,625$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.491,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c3,321$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.9416940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c2,500$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.2469548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c2,482$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.1566250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c2,049$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.0917233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+89.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under56c1,237$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.6129959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over53c1,234$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under74c1,185$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.281,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c1,012$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.931,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over52c970.78$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4775358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over16c831.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.157149.6%283 W · 288 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under46c682.58$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.593661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c527.09$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7397846.2%452 W · 526 L-3.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under47c468.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.09850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+88.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe12…728fbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over30c360.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4629337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under53c302.51$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.232,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under48c284.55$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6565549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over19c261.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.937750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over54c226$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9418145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8050…0448backed Under71c207.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c204.42$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1385260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c199.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0527545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under49c199.01$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.521,11735.8%400 W · 717 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c197$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7444356.2%249 W · 194 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under49c191.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7518449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0846…b540backed Over50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…3211backed Under47c180.09$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c172.54$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.521,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over44c167.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over49c158.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over54c153.7$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8312242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c151.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1281440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59431.9%30 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.416443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c139.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3948249.8%240 W · 242 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under47c134$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.026245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under47c119.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5213050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Under47c118.47$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under59c112$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4553564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.37146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under53c109.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0929654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Over14c104.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1636…977bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3111833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under46c59.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2950354.7%275 W · 228 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over24c54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.963339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2511168.5%76 W · 35 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2714533.1%48 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc810…adc1backed Under60c45.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+73.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8216856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over25c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.951275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b3…384fbacked Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.42per pick45cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020860.1%125 W · 83 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-74.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Under53c36.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.194564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Under55c31.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.181782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.9wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+105.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7181…c5f5backed Over53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb00b…f17fbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4db…e401backed Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d16…addabacked Over41c27.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under64c26.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3929470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over52c26.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Under55c21.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.823951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e6…f87cbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under72c13.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.894070%28 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.