Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd640550606c381805fe0162dd84edf1a508672c8b2b51f0710de861faf2127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 6,181$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.66 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 78c | 5,284$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.33 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 4,664$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.69 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 78c | 3,874$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.43 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,305$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 22c | 2,501$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.87 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 2,500$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.5 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 1,433$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.4 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 22c | 1,066$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 1,015$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.86 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Over | 3c | 999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 900.89$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.55 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 606.7$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 39c | 551.44$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.21 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 23c | 510.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 23c | 454.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.13 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 12c | 435.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 23c | 410.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 62c | 403.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 401.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.23 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Under | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…9779backed Over | 41c | 392.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 41c | 354.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 341.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 76c | 332.32$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Under | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 12cpaid | +372.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 22c | 294$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…3050backed Over | 52c | 281.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 79c | 245.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 238.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Over | 46c | 206.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 50c | 161.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 77c | 150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 132.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Over | 62c | 129.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 127.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 65c | 105.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 34c | 104.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 95.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…87bcbacked Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…7b1abacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 22c | 59.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 50c | 58.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 25c | 51.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Over | 77c | 50.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Under | 30c | 47.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 45.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 43c | 31.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 26.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 76cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…8ae0backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…d737backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 66c | 18.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.