Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4855ecc29853f4ad56f4c17a29bbc4aee2eb19870bcfab0f730a9847140a86fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PFK CSKA Sofiaof Qarabağ Ağdam FK, PFK CSKA Sofia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 21,626$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 35c | 5,345$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.28 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 62c | 5,080$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 3,403$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.23 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 75c | 3,233$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 23c | 2,751$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.65 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 2,117$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.36 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 38c | 2,111$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.62 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 1,783$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.49 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 1,384$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.57 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 1,243$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.48 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 1,149$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.28 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 40c | 1,121$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.98 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 38c | 705$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 470.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 39c | 426$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 410.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 73c | 405.64$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 366$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 335.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 40c | 251.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 233.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 77c | 189.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 40c | 161.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 161.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…5993backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…8a41backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 38c | 129.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 65c | 125.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 76c | 98.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 40c | 91.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 39c | 70.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 37c | 59.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 48.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…2555backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 39.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 41c | 34.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 37c | 29.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 71c | 27.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 77c | 26.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 71c | 24.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 78c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 69c | 17.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 0.5Under won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.