TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c25,045$6,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,907.53,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked Over1c24,553$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.531216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under44c9,130$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,138.1514637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.947554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over3c8,325$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.92040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over40c2,941$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.151735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Over1c2,523$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.272142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over59c2,419$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.031947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over1c2,376$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.766619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over52c1,926$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.946073.3%44 W · 16 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over3c1,920$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.974223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under19c1,793$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.8529337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c1,150$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over55c1,046$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8313067.7%88 W · 42 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over78c1,041$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.7881440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under24c938.24$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.3785260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under15c906.42$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.7229959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under3c869.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.67128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under8c862.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.482,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under47c853.51$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.011163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over48c834$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.444953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44011645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under5c778.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Under10c773.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.631782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.9wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+105.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over63c765.32$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.118244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under11c734.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.752,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Under79c708.67$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.331154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…830fbacked Over16c684.06$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under26c683.53$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.812927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+305.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4254654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under14c570.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1510627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over73c562.64$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.542,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under54c409.58$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over30c398.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Under7c357.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.14560%3 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick12cpaid+372.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under29c345.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.231136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Under19c337.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.524438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under10c301.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under5c300$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28426417.8%47 W · 217 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over63c297.55$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under39c289$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1553564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over78c256$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.681060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under39c254.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Over24c247.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-81%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over76c246.47$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.297553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94e0…625ebacked Under55c222.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over64c216.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over48c215.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.452871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under5c210.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2527545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under24c199.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1526556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over28c190.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7633446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under6c189.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.827146.5%33 W · 38 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under43c181.05$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under37c179.73$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.232334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under26c168$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1611839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under55c136.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.362259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020660.2%124 W · 82 L-15.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Over54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.13330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over39c121.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.784475%33 W · 11 L+9.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over53c117$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9727554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over75c105.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over41c99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3219848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Over79c91.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over75c80.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.835944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under59c79.34$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.38812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-78.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under46c76.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over67c73.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2145348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under29c69.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.312634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over65c68.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5927846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over43c66.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.184242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Under30c62.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.09933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc810…adc1backed Under41c62.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.791190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+73.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over41c60.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over35c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.714025%10 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over30c58.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over64c57.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5415562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2adb…9e4bbacked Over36c52.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over24c51.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0331430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over51c48.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.574065%26 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under24c43.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0156849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over37c38.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.322532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2659…e15abacked Over64c37.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-77.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8417855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over67c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7617958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over74c26.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over57c19.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1345135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over72c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.