TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,450 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed No53c1,326$699 inWon+$627.2243344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c1,086$509 inLost-$509.491,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c974.35$517 inWon+$457.3766150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes46c956.98$445 inLost-$444.612,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c581.67$311 inWon+$270.5169448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes48c565$269 inLost-$269.2417233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c531.07$249 inLost-$249.463,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No54c442.97$241 inWon+$201.695851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…08edbacked No53c300$159 inWon+$1412653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No53c298.7$158 inWon+$140.3977855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c281.79$129 inLost-$128.621,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No53c196$104 inWon+$92.127440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes47c168.91$79 inLost-$79.3997346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes24c158.49$39 inLost-$38.6637750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes48c146.72$70 inLost-$701450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No54c140$76 inWon+$64.416443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes47c119.85$56 inLost-$56.3313050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes45c107.1$48 inLost-$48.296947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes48c101.67$49 inLost-$48.829959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes25c78$20 inLost-$19.5727554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No53c75.58$40 inWon+$35.2765549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No76c69.3$53 inWon+$16.3781440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes47c60.02$28 inLost-$28.218461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No53c59.98$32 inWon+$28.1947649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes46c58.71$27 inLost-$27.0123653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes27c50$14 inLost-$13.53627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes46c41.3$19 inLost-$193748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed No54c37.04$20 inWon+$17.044353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed No54c27.27$15 inWon+$12.546657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No62c25$16 inWon+$9.550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No54c25$14 inWon+$11.511168.5%76 W · 35 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No73c18.41$13 inWon+$4.976333.3%21 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.