TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,383 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b29…e4b2backed Over62c1,921$1,191 inLost-$1,190.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over63c683.12$431 inLost-$430.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under38c657$250 inWon+$407.3488048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under38c657$250 inWon+$407.341,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under38c575.18$219 inWon+$356.031,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Over59c535.92$315 inLost-$315520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-65.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c377.85$204 inWon+$173.363,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c360.76$164 inWon+$196.262,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under37c329.7$121 inWon+$208.9481440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over44c250.12$111 inLost-$111.1745348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under39c200$79 inWon+$121.3677855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under38c131.23$50 inWon+$81.3627545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under39c100$39 inWon+$6110249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under46c70.11$32 inWon+$37.862564%16 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under40c60$24 inWon+$368461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over44c56.86$25 inLost-$24.7935944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over54c55.29$30 inLost-$30.1197346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b8f…de9abacked Over59c52$31 inLost-$30.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef59…ebafbacked Under41c52$21 inWon+$30.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c46$18 inLost-$17.942,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under61c37$23 inWon+$14.4815240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Under62c30.7$19 inWon+$11.651782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.9wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+105.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under61c28.99$18 inWon+$11.2629337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under46c25$12 inWon+$13.579354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over62c24.19$15 inLost-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.