TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Athletics, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$352,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c85,904$47,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,996.4746949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics48c79,082$37,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,959.391,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c54,429$28,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,559.854,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics44c31,930$14,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,060.793,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c20,100$10,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,64826054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c19,616$10,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,332.934,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c19,536$10,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,986.3850153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Athletics53c16,793$8,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,88843554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics46c14,131$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,500.2619950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c12,851$7,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,545.9510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c12,500$7,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,37548952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics44c11,980$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.4811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics44c9,464$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,195.575,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Athletics47c8,477$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.0111540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f1b…f28abacked Athletics36c8,223$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.321844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Athletics44c7,200$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1683145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics45c6,269$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.116,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks55c5,790$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.513552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Athletics43c5,750$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.57651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Athletics43c5,608$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.5128553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Athletics45c5,516$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.461,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics42c4,923$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.634,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics45c4,325$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.642,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Athletics44c3,949$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.5621644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks63c3,408$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.218,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Athletics31c3,362$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.5123146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics32c3,186$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.7512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Athletics1c2,915$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.465852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics25c2,848$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.988,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Athletics45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics45c2,430$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.52,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics44c2,403$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.491,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks69c2,069$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.854,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Athletics47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94017150.3%86 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c1,933$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.0636048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics30c1,896$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.558,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Athletics45c1,700$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Athletics48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Athletics47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks63c1,000$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.051,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c999.94$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9724346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c832.15$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4329147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics28c828.16$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.741,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Athletics13c801.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.452955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Athletics47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37612448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Athletics49c679.59$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33317961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics44c639.24$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.272,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletics44c610.5$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.622,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Athletics48c600$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Athletics51c577$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2728347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Athletics45c560$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Athletics44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Athletics10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23530647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Athletics53c475.73$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1437546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b5…7e9abacked Athletics43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006946.4%32 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…f60cbacked Athletics4c450$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d38…cc4ebacked Athletics47c444$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.682352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Arizona Diamondbacks73c433.16$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.155536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Athletics48c417$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.161,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Athletics49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011750.4%59 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c390.53$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.331,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks72c365$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.235668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Athletics56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Athletics47c351.62$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2658060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks71c346$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.895,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks65c345.08$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.533,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Athletics45c335.98$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6395252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks69c316$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.961968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Athletics17c311.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1585148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Arizona Diamondbacks69c309$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks69c305$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5514752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Athletics44c304.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8657758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Athletics46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.542550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Athletics45c298.48$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.311,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks69c264.56$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0124252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Athletics44c264$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1638949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1636…977bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c260$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Arizona Diamondbacks73c256.23$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.183873.7%28 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Athletics43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.510647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Arizona Diamondbacks66c236.07$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8654945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c234.64$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.141662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.251,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Athletics29c224.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9946239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Athletics46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014452.8%76 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Athletics47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.71,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Athletics48c206.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Athletics49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4539846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Athletics54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.71,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9be…08bebacked Athletics49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007749.4%38 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Athletics42c198.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6714559.3%86 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Athletics44c191.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4116845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c186$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.716,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics44c183.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.691,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.