MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b2114e95f0c8dc511e8dad489662c87f5e9569e84f5f3adcdf9bf29cad280b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Athletics, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 37c | 55,555$20,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,555.3 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 20,308$13,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,281.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 15,241$9,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.17 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 5,334$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.58 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 23c | 4,239$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.81 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 3,717$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.19 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Athletics | 36c | 3,288$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 2,903$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 29c | 2,161$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.85 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 1,829$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.53 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 1,300$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,287$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 1,170$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,024$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.88 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 21c | 832.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Athletics | 32c | 780.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 765.24$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.14 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 564.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 484.36$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Athletics | 25c | 410.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 18c | 367.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 24c | 329.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Athletics | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 37c | 297.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1d…7ae6backed Athletics | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 167.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 158.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 150.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Athletics | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 136$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 132.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 119.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 110.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 108.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 98.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Athletics | 36c | 93.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 84.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 84.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Athletics | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 66.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Athletics | 38c | 54.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Athletics | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Athletics | 37c | 41.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…3361backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 24.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 22.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.